Product:
Maps of Indonesia with inferred forest status in December 1989 for various definitions of forest
Maps of estimated potential for CDM-compliant carbon sequestration with various sources of climatic and conflict-related risk
Initial assessment of the social and economic consequences of CDM activities in the pilot areas identified in the national strategy documents
Due date: 4 months after signing contract.
Background:
A number of national strategy documents exist and suggest priority areas for pilot testing. These studies include the National Strategy Study on CDM in Indonesia, financed by the Government of Germany and the World Bank (2001); National CDM strategy for LULUCF, financed by the Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID) and World Bank (2002); Institutional Capacity Building for Clean Development Mechanism in Indonesia, financed by the German Agency for Technical Cooperation (GTZ). (2002).
Spatial data on land-use, topography, physical and chemical properties of soils in Indonesia are available in a number of agencies such as Bakosurtanal (Coordination Agency for National Soil Survey), Research Centre for Soils and Agroclimate (Puslitannak), Baplan (Planning Agency), and Public Works (PU) under the Ministry of Resettlement and Infrastructure Development. Data on forest covers and other related data are available at Ministry of Forestry (BAPLAN), and Forest Watch Indonesia.
Based on the experience and data currently available at CIFOR and ICRAF (a subset of the data mentioned in the previous paragraph), produce first order estimates of the amount of carbon that could be sequestered on the various categories of CDM-eligible lands (quantity per ha over project duration). Under this task, the effect of different possible definitions of forests in the Indonesian context on the location and area of lands available for CDM compliant re- and afforestation will be investigated.
Identify and organize existing primary socioeconomic datasets regarding land use that can to be used in project classification and evaluation. Based on the results of the CIFOR/ICRAF project on ‘underlying causes of fire’, an assessment will be made of the risk of carbon losses due to conflict over land status and climatic variability. Risk a variety of factors is also of concern in LULUCF-CDM projects and risk of loss will be one of the criteria used in selecting pilot project sites. Under this TOR, data on the spatial distribution of different categories of risk in Indonesia will also be collected.
In general terms, assess the cost effectiveness of approaches for assigning credits for carbon sequestration over time and suggest suitable approaches for the TA. Discuss the social and economic consequences for the various potential project categories.